Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov will travel to Tehran on Tuesday, February 25. What happened at the Riyadh meeting between him and the US Secretary of State, Marco Rubio? Will Lavrov go to Tehran with a message from Trump administration? Will Putin sacrifice the Islamic Republic cheaply to his longtime friend Trump and force it to accept negotiations with the US, or will Lavrov address the Islamic Republic in the face of the threat of an imminent Israeli attack on Iran's nuclear facilities: either come to the negotiating table or, as Obaid Zakani put it, "or be prepared to fight"?
Last week, the Emir of Qatar traveled to Tehran and met with officials of the Islamic Republic? Did he also go to Tehran with a message from Trump administration? What was the message that the Islamic Caliphate asked for 2 weeks to respond to the Emir of Qatar's request? Will the delusional caliph of Iran's Shiites still be stubborn and continue to beat the drum of "no negotiations, no war"?
What is certain is that the circle of pressure on the Islamic caliphate is getting tighter and tighter. It seems that the Trump-Putin coalition will drive the final nail into the coffin of the Islamic Republic's bullying policies and empty boasting, forcing it to come to the negotiating table in its weakest historical position. Knowing what we know about Trump and his team, he does not value human values, human rights, equal rights, etc., and considers his best alternative to the Islamic Republic to be forcing it to abandon its nuclear program, end its adventurism in the region through proxy groups, and not develop ballistic missiles.
Most analysts consider numerous scenarios regarding the tension between Trump's America and the Islamic Republic. But it seems that the Islamic Republic is at a losing crossroads. Either it accepts Trump's three conditions and reduces the risk of war, or it insists on not negotiating again. If it accepts the conditions, it will no longer be the Islamic Republic of the past and will become a weak (desolate) regime in the global arena. In this case, it will take revenge on the Iranian people for its defeat in the international arena by suppressing domestic opponents and critics and carrying out sabotage operations such as assassinations and creating insecurity for Iranians abroad. And if it continues its current policies of not negotiating with the United States, the United States will give the Israeli army the green light to take action by providing it with all the ammunitions and facilities it needs, and will act as a behind-the-scenes force and may not directly engage in military operations with the Islamic Republic.
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