Word of the Month:
War or peace
Since the ceasefire in Lebanon and the fall of the Assad regime in Syria, Iranian influence in the Middle East has declined dramatically. Within Western circles, two opposing arguments have been brewing. Some say that the precipitous decline in Iran’s regional influence means the danger from the Islamic Republic has dropped correspondingly and therefore can be ignored, at least for now.
Others argue this decline has brought the Islamic Republic of Iran to its weakest point ever and therefore this is the optimum time to attack Iran. At the time of this writing, it is not clear which argument will come out on top.
At the same time, the leadership of the Islamic Republic is faced with the same dilemma of how to respond to the US and its allies. Its unprecedented unpopularity at home, together with Iran’s truly dire economic crisis have turned this dilemma into a make-or-break moment.
There are indications that the US and Iran are haggling under the table. (Open negotiations would be a likely indication that an agreement is imminent). Let us hope that peace can win this round.
IRAN: View from the LEFT, Jan 2025 N0.61
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